The New Saints vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 4-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
The New Saints is a heavy favourite: 2,117 Elo points against 1,769, a 348-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
The New Saints
4-3-3- 9Bradley Jamie Ethan Young
- 17J. Williams
- 28B. Wilson
- 20R. Hughes
- 14D. Williams
- 34J. Lock
- 6J. Bodenham
- 16D. Simeu
- 22D. Davies
- 12Harvey George Godsmark-Ford
- 1N. Shepperd
Briton Ferry
4-3-3- 9T. Walters
- 11C. Hurford
- 20O. Anderson
- 8T. Price
- 16M. Bates
- 12J. Lloyd
- 2L. Bates
- 15L. Cooper
- 6I. Jones
- 3D. Packer
- 13W. Fuller
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 14 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Briton Ferry have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 9-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 9-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Afan United(home) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 The New Saints wins, 0 draws, 2 Briton Ferry wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints 1-0 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-2 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | The New Saints 0-3 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | The New Saints 5-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Briton Ferry 3-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Briton Ferry 1-5 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Briton Ferry on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 3.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 3.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is The New Saints vs Briton Ferry played?
- The New Saints vs Briton Ferry is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Park Hall Stadium, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.