Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town?
Penybont and Aberystwyth Town drew 1-1 on October 4, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 51′Wesley BaynesAberystwyth Town
- 90′K. GeorgievskyPenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Airbus UK(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Bala Town(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2019 | The New Saints(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2019 | Bala Town(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2019 | Cefn Druids AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 2.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy