Caersws vs Bala Town: result 3-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
Full time
What was the result of Caersws vs Bala Town?
Caersws and Bala Town drew 3-3 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 26′635547Caersws (pen.)
- 39′O. SimmondsBala Town
- 70′?Caersws
- 82′O. SimmondsBala Town
- 90′J. OwenBala Town
- 90′684928Caersws
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bala Town win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bala Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Town score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bala Town | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Bala Town sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Caersws vs Bala Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy