Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caersws wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Caersws starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Caersws wins, 3 draws, 0 Holyhead Hotspur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Caersws 2-2 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Caersws on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 14th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Caersws vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.