Buckley Town vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Globe Way Stadium, Buckley / Bwcle, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,472).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckley Town have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Newtown AFC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Buckley Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Newtown AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Newtown AFC 0-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Buckley Town 3-0 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Buckley Town 2-3 Newtown AFC | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckley Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 5th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckley Town vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Buckley Town vs Newtown AFC played?
- Buckley Town vs Newtown AFC is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Globe Way Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.