Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porthmadog wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Porthmadog (1,551) and Denbigh Town (1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Porthmadog wins, 1 draw, 2 Denbigh Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Denbigh Town 2-3 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Porthmadog 2-2 Denbigh Town | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Porthmadog 1-4 Denbigh Town | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Denbigh Town 3-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Porthmadog 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (27 points from 14 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 14 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town played?
- Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.