Caersws vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Ruthin Town?
Caersws starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Ruthin Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Ruthin Town
Not enough data to predict the Ruthin Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Caersws wins, 1 draw, 0 Ruthin Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town 0-3 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Caersws 5-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Caersws 2-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Caersws on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 13th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Caersws vs Ruthin Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Ruthin Town played?
- Caersws vs Ruthin Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.