Ruthin Town vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Ruthin Town (1,497) and Caersws (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Caersws have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ruthin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Caersws win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Caersws 5-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Caersws 2-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Caersws 5-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Caersws on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Caersws sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
- The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Caersws played?
- Ruthin Town vs Caersws is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.