Holyhead Hotspur vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The New Oval, Holyhead, Isle of Anglesey
The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mold Alexandra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holyhead Hotspur vs Mold Alexandra?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Holyhead Hotspur (1,530) and Mold Alexandra (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holyhead Hotspur have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Holyhead Hotspur win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 3-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Mold Alexandra 3-1 Holyhead Hotspur | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Holyhead Hotspur 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead Hotspur on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holyhead Hotspur score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holyhead Hotspur sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holyhead Hotspur vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mold Alexandra.
- Where and when is Holyhead Hotspur vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Holyhead Hotspur vs Mold Alexandra is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The New Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.