Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,510).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Newtown AFC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Penrhyncoch wins, 1 draw, 2 Newtown AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newtown AFC 5-0 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Newtown AFC 1-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 1-2 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 11 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC played?
- Penrhyncoch vs Newtown AFC is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Cae Baker, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.