Match

Cala Pozuelo vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Cala PozueloColonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,707) and Colonia Moscardó (1,768).

Cala Pozuelo win35 %
Draw27 %
Colonia Moscardó win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cala Pozuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Alcorcón II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025Galapagar(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Torrejón(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cala Pozuelo1.41.337/156/15
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cala Pozuelo.
Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Cala Pozuelo vs Colonia Moscardó is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cala Pozuelo and Colonia Moscardó

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