RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for RC Alcobendas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles?
Móstoles starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RC Alcobendas
Not enough data to predict the RC Alcobendas lineup.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, RC Alcobendas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Móstoles have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 RC Alcobendas wins, 0 draws, 1 Móstoles win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Móstoles 5-1 RC Alcobendas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RC Alcobendas score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 9; Móstoles score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Alcobendas | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 8/9 | 7/9 |
| Móstoles | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RC Alcobendas sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (8 points from 9 matches) and Móstoles sit 1st (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Móstoles | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 20 |
| 13 | RC Alcobendas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 8 |
A question about RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for RC Alcobendas.
- Where and when is RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles played?
- RC Alcobendas vs Móstoles is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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