Galapagar vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs Trival Valderas?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,752) and Trival Valderas (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Trival Valderas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Trival Valderas have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Galapagar win, 3 draws, 2 Trival Valderas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Trival Valderas 2-2 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Galapagar 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Galapagar 0-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Galapagar 0-2 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Galapagar on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 7 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Galapagar vs Trival Valderas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Trival Valderas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs Trival Valderas played?
- Galapagar vs Trival Valderas is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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