Where and when is Galapagar vs Trival Valderas played?

Galapagar vs Trival Valderas is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Trival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Trival Valderas?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,727).

Galapagar win25 %

Draw26 %

Trival Valderas win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Galapagar win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Trival Valderas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Trival Valderas 2-2 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 21, 2025	Galapagar 2-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025	Galapagar 0-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 15, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 17, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 29, 2023	Galapagar 0-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Galapagar on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Trival Valderas?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Trival Valderas played?: Galapagar vs Trival Valderas is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.