Colonia Moscardó vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Leganés II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leganés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2024 | Leganés II 0-1 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 0-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Leganés II 2-2 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó on Jun 8, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Leganés II played?
- Colonia Moscardó vs Leganés II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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