Match

Calamocha vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha

CalamochaNavalcarnero

The Footlab AI model makes Calamocha the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calamocha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calamocha vs Navalcarnero?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,856) and Navalcarnero (1,930).

39%28%33%
Calamocha winDrawNavalcarnero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Calamocha vs Navalcarnero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Calamocha

Not enough data to predict the Calamocha lineup.

Navalcarnero

4-3-3
  1. 11M. Jimenez
  2. 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
  3. 24A. Altube Suarez
  1. 14Javi Bueno
  2. 21I. Perera
  3. 15J. Cruz
  1. 6R. de Souza
  2. 5A. Espinola
  3. 3Juanmi
  4. 19A. Aunon
  1. 1A. Calado

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calamocha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Ebro(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Osasuna II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Tudelano(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026UD Logroñés II(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 13, 2026Espanyol II(away)0-5Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)2-2Copa Federacion
Oct 11, 2026A Madrid III(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 30, 2026Real Murcia(home)3-1Copa Federacion
Sep 27, 2026Conquense(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Calamocha score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calamocha1.11.183/156/15
Navalcarnero1.91.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Navalcarnero6222998

A question about Calamocha vs Navalcarnero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs Navalcarnero?
The Footlab AI model makes Calamocha the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is Calamocha vs Navalcarnero played?
Calamocha vs Navalcarnero is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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