Where and when is Calamocha vs Navalcarnero played?

Calamocha vs Navalcarnero is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calamocha vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha

Calamocha

Navalcarnero

The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calamocha vs Navalcarnero?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,889) and Navalcarnero (1,863).

Calamocha win47 %

Draw27 %

Navalcarnero win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calamocha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cariñena(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026	Robres(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026	Huesca II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026	Cuarte(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026	Illueca(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

Navalcarnero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Fuenlabrada(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Colonia Moscardó(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Conquense(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	CD Coria(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calamocha	1.2	0.3	12	3/15	4/15
Navalcarnero	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40	42	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs Navalcarnero?: The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is Calamocha vs Navalcarnero played?: Calamocha vs Navalcarnero is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.