Guadalajara vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,885) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Atlético Tordesillas?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Tordesillas.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
- Guadalajara vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.