Match

Albacete II vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete

Albacete IINumancia

The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albacete II vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,910) and Numancia (1,946).

Albacete II win42 %
Draw28 %
Numancia win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaragoza(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Poblense(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Poblense(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Langreo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15
Numancia1.30.949/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs Numancia?
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia.
Where and when is Albacete II vs Numancia played?
Albacete II vs Numancia is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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