Albacete II vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete II vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,910) and Numancia (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 24, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete II | 1.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Numancia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs Numancia?
- The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia.
- Where and when is Albacete II vs Numancia played?
- Albacete II vs Numancia is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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