Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo played?

RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD Alcalá

Calvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,880) and Calvo Sotelo (1,941).

RSD Alcalá win38 %

Draw28 %

Calvo Sotelo win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	CD Coria(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Quintanar del Rey(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Rayo Vallecano II(home)	3-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Fuenlabrada(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá	1.5	0.9	6	7/15	9/15
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	RSD Alcalá	34	14	9	11	42	39	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo?: The Footlab model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo played?: RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.