Match

RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláCalvo Sotelo

The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If RSD Alcalá wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,857) and Calvo Sotelo (1,877).

43%28%29%
RSD Alcalá winDrawCalvo Sotelo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Calvo Sotelo

Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SS Reyes(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 RSD Alcalá wins, 1 draw, 0 Calvo Sotelo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo 0-0 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.51.077/159/15
Calvo Sotelo1.21.076/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RSD Alcalá sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 7 matches) and Calvo Sotelo sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10RSD Alcalá722310108
17Calvo Sotelo71243105

A question about RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo?
The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo played?
RSD Alcalá vs Calvo Sotelo is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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