Match

Calasancio vs La Calzada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Estrella, Logroño

CalasancioLa Calzada

The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Calasancio. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Calzada wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calasancio vs La Calzada?

La Calzada starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,555).

35%26%39%
Calasancio winDrawLa Calzada win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Calasancio vs La Calzada

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Calasancio

4-3-3
  1. EEduardo García Ballesteros
  2. DDiego Saez Salinas
  3. MMarcos Medrano Bodega
  1. DDavid Lozano
  2. DDavid Sacristan Moreno
  3. FFidel García
  1. IIbrahima Korca Ba
  2. SS. Londoño
  3. ÁÁlvaro Huerta
  4. RRaúl Fernández Tamayo
  1. IIván López Villar

La Calzada

Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calasancio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; La Calzada have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calasancio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Varea(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 11, 2026Vianés(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026Casalarreina(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 27, 2026Calahorra(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 18, 2026Anguiano(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
La Calzada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Berceo(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026Comillas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 27, 2026Varea(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 20, 2026Vianés(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 13, 2026Casalarreina(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Calasancio wins, 0 draws, 0 La Calzada wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2020Calasancio 1-0 La CalzadaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 13, 2019La Calzada 1-2 CalasancioTercera División RFEF - Group 16

Last archived meeting: Calasancio vs La Calzada on Mar 1, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Calasancio score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; La Calzada score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calasancio1.12.146/159/15
La Calzada1.31.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Calasancio sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (5 points from 6 matches) and La Calzada sit 5th (12 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5La Calzada640210912
15Calasancio61237165

A question about Calasancio vs La Calzada?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calasancio vs La Calzada?
The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Calasancio.
Where and when is Calasancio vs La Calzada played?
Calasancio vs La Calzada is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Estrella, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Calasancio and La Calzada

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