Match

Caldiero Terme vs Fiorenzuola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero TermeFiorenzuola

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Fiorenzuola?

Caldiero Terme starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,552).

Caldiero Terme win55 %
Draw25 %
Fiorenzuola win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Fiorenzuola have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Fiorenzuola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Brusaporto(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2025Prato(home)3-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 27, 2025Tuttocuoio(away)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 17, 2025Lentigione(home)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 13, 2025Ravenna(away)0-3Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15
Fiorenzuola0.71.344/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Fiorenzuola?
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Fiorenzuola.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Fiorenzuola played?
Caldiero Terme vs Fiorenzuola is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Caldiero Terme and Fiorenzuola

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