Villa Valle vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Villa Valle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-2 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Villa Valle 1-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Villa Valle 5-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-1 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Villa Valle vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027ChievovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Jan 31, 2027PiacenzavsMilan II
- Jan 31, 2027BrusaportovsReal Calepina
- Jan 31, 2027Caldiero TermevsFiorenzuola
- Jan 31, 2027Club MilanovsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Jan 31, 2027Pro PalazzolovsScanzorosciate
- Jan 31, 2027Rovato VertovesevsTritium
- Jan 31, 2027PavonesevsVirtus Verona