Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme played?

Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda

Fiorenzuola

Caldiero Terme

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?

Caldiero Terme starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,552).

Fiorenzuola win27 %

Draw27 %

Caldiero Terme win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fiorenzuola
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Brusaporto(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2025	Prato(home)	3-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 27, 2025	Tuttocuoio(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 17, 2025	Lentigione(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 13, 2025	Ravenna(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone D

Caldiero Terme
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Varesina(home)	2-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Vogherese(away)	6-0	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Villa Valle(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Brusaporto(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fiorenzuola	0.7	1.3	4	4/15	6/15
Caldiero Terme	1.8	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Caldiero Terme	34	10	15	9	50	40	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?: The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fiorenzuola.
Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme played?: Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.