Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias
The Footlab AI model makes La Tribu de Cd. Juarez the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez?
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez is a heavy favourite: 1,856 Elo points against 1,554, a 302-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciervos
Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Not enough data to predict the La Tribu de Cd. Juarez lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have 5, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 2-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Santiago(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciervos score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; La Tribu de Cd. Juarez score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/8 | 7/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciervos sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (5 points from 8 matches) and La Tribu de Cd. Juarez sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 5 |
A question about Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Tribu de Cd. Juarez the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez played?
- Ciervos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026Cañoneros MarinavsVaqueros Reynosa
- Nov 14, 2026Artesanos MetepecvsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Nov 14, 2026Real RefinerosvsAtlético Saltillo
- Nov 15, 2026Calor de San PedrovsReal Apodaca
- Nov 15, 2026Dragones de OaxacavsGuerreros
- Nov 15, 2026Halcones NegrosvsAcatlan
- Nov 15, 2026Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsMineros de Fresnillo