Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa
The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calor de San Pedro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,807) and Real Apodaca (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calor de San Pedro
Not enough data to predict the Calor de San Pedro lineup.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Real Apodaca have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 7-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Calor de San Pedro win, 1 draw, 2 Real Apodaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca 1-0 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Calor de San Pedro 1-2 Real Apodaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Real Apodaca 2-2 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Calor de San Pedro 2-1 Real Apodaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Real Apodaca vs Calor de San Pedro on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calor de San Pedro score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calor de San Pedro sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (12 points from 10 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 9th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Calor de San Pedro | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca played?
- Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Guerreros del PacificovsFC Santiago
- Nov 14, 2026Cañoneros MarinavsVaqueros Reynosa
- Nov 14, 2026CiervosvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Nov 14, 2026Real RefinerosvsAtlético Saltillo
- Nov 14, 2026Artesanos MetepecvsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Nov 15, 2026Dragones de OaxacavsGuerreros
- Nov 15, 2026Halcones NegrosvsAcatlan
- Nov 15, 2026Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsMineros de Fresnillo