Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca played?

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San Pedro

Real Apodaca

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,888).

Calor de San Pedro win40 %

Draw29 %

Real Apodaca win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Apodaca have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Real Apodaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(home)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Apodaca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca 1-0 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 16, 2025	Calor de San Pedro 1-2 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 6, 2024	Real Apodaca 2-2 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 5, 2023	Calor de San Pedro 2-1 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Real Apodaca vs Calor de San Pedro on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro	1.3	0.9	5	6/15	6/15
Real Apodaca	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Calor de San Pedro sit 5th in Liga Premier Serie A (44 points from 26 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 1st (66 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47	19	66
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?: The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Real Apodaca.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca played?: Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.