Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Guerreros played?

Real Apodaca vs Guerreros is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Apodaca vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real Apodaca

Guerreros

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Guerreros?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,803).

Real Apodaca win68 %

Draw19 %

Guerreros win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(home)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	8/15
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and Guerreros sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47	19	66
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Guerreros?: The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Guerreros played?: Real Apodaca vs Guerreros is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.