Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,896) and Guerreros (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Colima(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leones Negros(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Guerreros | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calor de San Pedro sit 5th in Liga Premier Serie A (44 points from 26 matches) and Guerreros sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 44 |
| 9 | Guerreros | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros?
- The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Guerreros.
- Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros played?
- Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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