Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias
The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
Vaqueros Reynosa is a heavy favourite: 1,870 Elo points against 1,536, a 334-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciervos
Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.
Vaqueros Reynosa
Not enough data to predict the Vaqueros Reynosa lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Vaqueros Reynosa have 5, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 2-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Saltillo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vaqueros Reynosa score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Vaqueros Reynosa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 6/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciervos sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (2 points from 7 matches) and Vaqueros Reynosa sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 2 |
A question about Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa played?
- Ciervos vs Vaqueros Reynosa is played on April 3, 2027 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsAcatlan
- Apr 3, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Apr 3, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsMineros de Fresnillo
- Apr 3, 2027Real RefinerosvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Apr 3, 2027Calor de San PedrovsGuerreros
- Apr 3, 2027Halcones NegrosvsAtlético Saltillo
- Apr 3, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsFC Santiago
- Apr 4, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsHéroes de Zaci