Match

Calvo Sotelo vs Calamocha: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano

Calvo SoteloCalamocha

The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Calamocha?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,938) and Calamocha (1,886).

Calvo Sotelo win50 %
Draw27 %
Calamocha win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Calamocha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cariñena(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026Robres(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026Huesca II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026Cuarte(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026Illueca(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

How many goals should we expect?

Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15
Calamocha1.20.3123/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Calamocha?
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Calamocha.
Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Calamocha played?
Calvo Sotelo vs Calamocha is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calvo Sotelo and Calamocha

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