Where and when is Calamocha vs A Madrid III played?

Calamocha vs A Madrid III is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calamocha vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha

Calamocha

A Madrid III

The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calamocha vs A Madrid III?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,886) and A Madrid III (1,845).

Calamocha win48 %

Draw27 %

A Madrid III win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calamocha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cariñena(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026	Robres(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026	Huesca II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026	Cuarte(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026	Illueca(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

A Madrid III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Móstoles(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Adarve(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calamocha	1.2	0.3	12	3/15	4/15
A Madrid III	2.1	1.4	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs A Madrid III?: The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is Calamocha vs A Madrid III played?: Calamocha vs A Madrid III is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.