Calvo Sotelo vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Real Valladolid II?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,941) and Real Valladolid II (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cazalegas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Real Valladolid II?
- The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Real Valladolid II.
- Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Real Valladolid II played?
- Calvo Sotelo vs Real Valladolid II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.