Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga?
On Elo ratings, Navalcarnero has 1,930 points and Atlético Astorga 1,880.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Navalcarnero vs Atlético Astorga is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.