Salamanca UDS vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Guadalajara?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,877) and Guadalajara (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca UDS score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Guadalajara played?
- Salamanca UDS vs Guadalajara is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.