Match

Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)King George V New Field, Cwmclydach

Cambrian & ClydachTrethomas Bluebirds

The Footlab AI model makes Cambrian & Clydach the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Cambrian & Clydach is a heavy favourite: 1,874 Elo points against 1,555, a 320-point gap.

83%10%7%
Cambrian & Clydach winDrawTrethomas Bluebirds win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cambrian & Clydach

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Bonthron
  2. 10L. Eason
  3. 23Jac Joseph
  1. 4Ashley Evans
  2. 7Frazer Thomas
  3. 6A. John
  1. 8Jay Woodford
  2. 12Cam Strinati
  3. 5K. Jones
  4. 14J. Morris
  1. 1K. Absalom

Trethomas Bluebirds

Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambrian & Clydach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cambrian & Clydach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026The New Saints(away)0-9Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Llandudno(home)4-3Premier League
Sep 18, 2026Caernarfon Town(away)1-9Premier League
Sep 15, 2026Trefelin(away)4-0Premier League
Sep 11, 2026Holywell(home)2-1Premier League
Trethomas Bluebirds
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)2-3FAW Championship
Sep 26, 2026Ynyshir Albions(away)1-1FAW Championship
Sep 4, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(home)2-2FAW Championship
Aug 31, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)3-2FAW Championship
Aug 28, 2026Afan Lido(home)5-2FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cambrian & Clydach wins, 1 draw, 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Cambrian & Clydach 4-2 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship
Aug 15, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds 0-5 Cambrian & ClydachFAW Championship
Mar 28, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds 0-0 Cambrian & ClydachFAW Championship
Nov 9, 2024Cambrian & Clydach 0-1 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cambrian & Clydach score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cambrian & Clydach1.92.349/1512/15
Trethomas Bluebirds1.92.3113/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
The Footlab AI model makes Cambrian & Clydach the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?
Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at King George V New Field, in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cambrian & Clydach and Trethomas Bluebirds

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