Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions played?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly

Trethomas Bluebirds

Ynyshir Albions

The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,490) and Ynyshir Albions (1,428).

Trethomas Bluebirds win53 %

Draw23 %

Ynyshir Albions win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

Ynyshir Albions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	0-2	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Ynyshir Albions 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Sep 13, 2025	Trethomas Bluebirds 4-1 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15
Ynyshir Albions	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions?: The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Ynyshir Albions.
Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions played?: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.