Match

Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd

Cardiff METYnyshir Albions

The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 79%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions?

Cardiff MET is a heavy favourite: 1,881 Elo points against 1,516, a 366-point gap.

79%12%9%
Cardiff MET winDrawYnyshir Albions win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cardiff MET

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Payne
  2. 36S. Snaith
  3. 11L. Mwandwe
  1. 4J. Veale
  2. 8C. Craven
  3. 10S. Jones
  1. 33T. Raison
  2. 14Spencer Dymond-Hall
  3. 23J. Hooper
  4. 5J. Clarke
  1. 1Arron Davies

Ynyshir Albions

Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff MET
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Llandudno(away)1-0Premier League
Sep 29, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(home)1-0Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Caernarfon Town(home)2-2Premier League
Sep 18, 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC(away)0-1Premier League
Sep 11, 2026Flint Town United(away)1-1Premier League
Ynyshir Albions
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Treowen Stars(away)2-1FAW Championship
Sep 26, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)1-1FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)2-2FAW Championship
Aug 31, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-0FAW Championship
Aug 28, 2026Newport City(away)1-0FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff MET score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cardiff MET1.91.357/159/15
Ynyshir Albions1.31.168/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions?
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 79%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for Ynyshir Albions.
Where and when is Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions played?
Cardiff MET vs Ynyshir Albions is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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