Canaa EC vs Ceilândia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 2Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Canaa EC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ceilândia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Canaa EC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canaa EC vs Ceilândia?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Canaa EC (1,513) and Ceilândia (1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Canaa EC vs Ceilândia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Canaa EC
Not enough data to predict the Canaa EC lineup.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Canaa EC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Ceilândia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Taguatinga EC(home) | 2-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Planaltina DF(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Planaltina DF(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | GREVAL(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Candango(away) | 4-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Canaa EC score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 9; Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canaa EC | 1.8 | 0.6 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Canaa EC vs Ceilândia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canaa EC vs Ceilândia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Canaa EC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ceilândia.
- Where and when is Canaa EC vs Ceilândia played?
- Canaa EC vs Ceilândia is played on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.