Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, Ceilândia, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Taguatinga EC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceilândia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Ceilândia (1,595) and Taguatinga EC (1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Taguatinga EC
Not enough data to predict the Taguatinga EC lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceilândia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Taguatinga EC have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Canaa EC(away) | 2-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Legião(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Legião(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luziânia(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Taguatinga EC score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Taguatinga EC | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Taguatinga EC.
- Where and when is Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC played?
- Ceilândia vs Taguatinga EC is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.