Samambaia vs Canaa EC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Canaa EC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samambaia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samambaia vs Canaa EC?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Samambaia (1,530) and Canaa EC (1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samambaia vs Canaa EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Canaa EC
Not enough data to predict the Canaa EC lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Canaa EC have 6, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Taguatinga EC(home) | 2-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Planaltina DF(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Planaltina DF(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | GREVAL(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Candango(away) | 4-0 | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Canaa EC score 1.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Canaa EC | 1.8 | 0.6 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
A question about Samambaia vs Canaa EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samambaia vs Canaa EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Canaa EC.
- Where and when is Samambaia vs Canaa EC played?
- Samambaia vs Canaa EC is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.