Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 2Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, Sobradinho, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Sobradinho EC the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Samambaia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sobradinho EC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Sobradinho EC (1,537) and Samambaia (1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sobradinho EC
4-3-3- MMurillo Magno de Carvalho
- JJoão de Deus
- DDouglas Pitbul
- AAndrei Alba
- FFilipe Cirne
- WWerick
- JJaílton de Campos dos Santos
- RRicardo Ferreira de Sousa
- IIgor
- PPaulo Giovani Ramos
- LLeonardo Rodrigues Sales da Silva
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sobradinho EC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Samambaia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sobradinho EC win, 2 draws, 2 Samambaia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia 0-1 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC 0-0 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia 3-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Samambaia 1-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Samambaia 2-2 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Samambaia vs Sobradinho EC on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sobradinho EC score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sobradinho EC | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sobradinho EC sit 3rd in Brasiliense (17 points from 9 matches) and Samambaia sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho EC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
A question about Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sobradinho EC the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Samambaia.
- Where and when is Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia played?
- Sobradinho EC vs Samambaia is played on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.