Canada vs Mexico: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFFinal Round - 8Kick-off on November 17, 2021 at 02:05 AM (UTC)BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
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What was the result of Canada vs Mexico?
Canada won 2-1 on November 17, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′C. LarinCanada
- 52′C. LarinCanada
- 90′H. HerreraMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Mexico have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | Costa Rica(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Panama(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Jamaica(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Mexico(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 8, 2021 | El Salvador(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | USA(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Ecuador(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2021 | El Salvador(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Honduras(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Canada(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Canada win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Mexico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2021 | Mexico 1-1 Canada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Mexico 2-1 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Mexico 3-1 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Mexico 2-0 Canada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Canada 0-3 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 2.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Mexico | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy