Mexico vs Canada: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFFinal Round - 4Kick-off on October 8, 2021 at 01:40 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Canada?
Mexico and Canada drew 1-1 on October 8, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. SánchezMexico
- 42′J. OsorioCanada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Canada have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2021 | Panama(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Costa Rica(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Jamaica(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Aug 2, 2021 | USA(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Canada(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | El Salvador(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 6, 2021 | USA(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Honduras(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Mexico(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Costa Rica(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Mexico win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Canada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2021 | Mexico 2-1 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Mexico 3-1 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Mexico 2-0 Canada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Canada 0-3 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Canada score 3.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Canada | 3.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy