Candango vs Legião: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Legião the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Candango. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Candango vs Legião?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Candango (1,521) and Legião (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Candango have 1 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Legião have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 0-6 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-7 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(away) | 0-5 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | GREVAL(home) | 3-4 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Real FC(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Ceilandense(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Ceilândia(home) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Capital Brasilia(away) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Candango score 0.6 and concede 5.0 goals per match over their last 7; Legião score 0.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candango | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1 | 1/7 | 5/7 |
| Legião | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Candango vs Legião?
- The Footlab model makes Legião the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Candango.
- Where and when is Candango vs Legião played?
- Candango vs Legião is played on September 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.