Candango vs Taguatinga EC: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Candango. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Candango vs Taguatinga EC?
Taguatinga EC starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Candango have 1 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Taguatinga EC have 5, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 0-6 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-7 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(away) | 0-5 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | GREVAL(home) | 3-4 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Legião(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Legião(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SESP Samambaense(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
Candango score 0.6 and concede 5.0 goals per match over their last 7; Taguatinga EC score 2.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candango | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1 | 1/7 | 5/7 |
| Taguatinga EC | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Candango vs Taguatinga EC?
- The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Candango.
- Where and when is Candango vs Taguatinga EC played?
- Candango vs Taguatinga EC is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.