Match

Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Quirazco, Xalapa-Enríquez

Cañoneros MarinaCalor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro?

Calor de San Pedro starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,743).

Cañoneros Marina win27 %
Draw26 %
Calor de San Pedro win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cañoneros Marina have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cañoneros Marina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Racing de Veracruz(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Tapachula(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Neza(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cañoneros Marina win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Calor de San Pedro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2025Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Oct 15, 2024Cañoneros Marina 1-0 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie B
Feb 4, 2023Cañoneros Marina 0-5 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 17, 2022Calor de San Pedro 2-0 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Calor de San Pedro vs Cañoneros Marina on Feb 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cañoneros Marina1.02.134/1511/15
Calor de San Pedro1.30.956/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cañoneros Marina sit 11th in Liga Premier Serie A (22 points from 24 matches) and Calor de San Pedro sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Calor de San Pedro261277372644
11Cañoneros Marina247116254922

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro?
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina.
Where and when is Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro played?
Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Quirazco, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cañoneros Marina and Calor de San Pedro

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