Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Quirazco, Xalapa-Enríquez
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro?
Calor de San Pedro starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cañoneros Marina have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cañoneros Marina win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Calor de San Pedro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Cañoneros Marina 1-0 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Cañoneros Marina 0-5 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Calor de San Pedro 2-0 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Calor de San Pedro vs Cañoneros Marina on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cañoneros Marina sit 11th in Liga Premier Serie A (22 points from 24 matches) and Calor de San Pedro sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 44 |
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro?
- The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro played?
- Cañoneros Marina vs Calor de San Pedro is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Quirazco, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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