Where and when is Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

Acatlan

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

Mineros de Fresnillo starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,706).

Acatlan win25 %

Draw22 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Colima(home)	1-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Ensenada(away)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026	UA Zacatecas(home)	4-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Durango(home)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Acatlan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 10, 2026	Mineros de Fresnillo 1-0 Acatlan	Liga Premier Serie A
Aug 24, 2025	Acatlan 2-2 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Acatlan on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Acatlan	1.7	2.7	2	8/15	13/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acatlan sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (21 points from 26 matches) and Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th (39 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39
13	Acatlan	26	6	1	19	39	73	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Acatlan vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.