Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II played?

Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II is played on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real Apodaca

Correcaminos UAT II

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Correcaminos UAT II. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,794).

Real Apodaca win64 %

Draw22 %

Correcaminos UAT II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Correcaminos UAT II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(home)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Correcaminos UAT II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Real Apodaca(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Chilpancingo(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	FC Santiago(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Sporting Canamy(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Apodaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Correcaminos UAT II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II 1-0 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 22, 2025	Real Apodaca 1-0 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2025	Correcaminos UAT II 0-1 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 24, 2024	Real Apodaca 4-3 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2024	Correcaminos UAT II 0-2 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 29, 2023	Real Apodaca 2-4 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Correcaminos UAT II vs Real Apodaca on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Correcaminos UAT II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	8/15
Correcaminos UAT II	1.1	1.3	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and Correcaminos UAT II sit 8th (36 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47	19	66
8	Correcaminos UAT II	26	9	7	10	27	25	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II?: The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Correcaminos UAT II.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II played?: Real Apodaca vs Correcaminos UAT II is played on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.