Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPL 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Jensen Park, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Canterbury Bankstown the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Macarthur Rams. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Canterbury Bankstown (1,712) and Macarthur Rams (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canterbury Bankstown have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Macarthur Rams have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulls Academy(away) | 3-0 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hakoah Sydney City(home) | 4-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hills Brumbies(away) | 0-4 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dulwich Hill(home) | 3-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bankstown City Lions(away) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Northern Tigers(away) | 2-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blacktown Spartans(home) | 0-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hill(away) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bulls Academy(away) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hurstville FC(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Canterbury Bankstown win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Macarthur Rams win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Macarthur Rams 0-2 Canterbury Bankstown | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Canterbury Bankstown 0-1 Macarthur Rams | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Macarthur Rams 2-2 Canterbury Bankstown | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Macarthur Rams 1-0 Canterbury Bankstown | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Canterbury Bankstown 4-0 Macarthur Rams | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Macarthur Rams 0-1 Canterbury Bankstown | New South Wales NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur Rams vs Canterbury Bankstown on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Canterbury Bankstown score 2.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Macarthur Rams score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canterbury Bankstown | 2.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Macarthur Rams | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Canterbury Bankstown sit 5th in New South Wales NPL 2 (32 points from 20 matches) and Macarthur Rams sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 48 |
| 4 | Macarthur Rams | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 34 |
| 5 | Canterbury Bankstown | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams?
- The Footlab model makes Canterbury Bankstown the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Macarthur Rams.
- Where and when is Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams played?
- Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Jensen Park, in the New South Wales NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Prospect UnitedvsHurstville FC
- Aug 29, 2026Newcastle Jets IIvsBankstown City Lions
- Aug 29, 2026Hills BrumbiesvsCentral Coast II
- Aug 29, 2026Inter LionsvsHakoah Sydney City
- Aug 29, 2026Rydalmere LionsvsDulwich Hill
- Aug 29, 2026Bulls AcademyvsBlacktown Spartans
- Aug 29, 2026Mt Druitt TownvsNorthern Tigers