Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPL 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Popondetta Park, Emerton
The Footlab model makes Northern Tigers the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Mt Druitt Town. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers?
Northern Tigers starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mt Druitt Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Northern Tigers have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Coast II(away) | 4-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hills Brumbies(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Prospect United(away) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hakoah Sydney City(home) | 0-9 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dulwich Hill(away) | 0-4 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macarthur Rams(home) | 3-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bulls Academy(away) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rydalmere Lions(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hurstville FC(away) | 3-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blacktown Spartans(home) | 0-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mt Druitt Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Northern Tigers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Northern Tigers 1-1 Mt Druitt Town | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Mt Druitt Town 1-2 Northern Tigers | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Northern Tigers 0-4 Mt Druitt Town | New South Wales NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: Northern Tigers vs Mt Druitt Town on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mt Druitt Town score 1.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Tigers score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mt Druitt Town | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Northern Tigers | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mt Druitt Town sit 16th in New South Wales NPL 2 (13 points from 20 matches) and Northern Tigers sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 56 |
| 16 | Mt Druitt Town | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 13 |
| 16 | Mt Druitt Town | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 66 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers?
- The Footlab model makes Northern Tigers the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Mt Druitt Town.
- Where and when is Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers played?
- Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Popondetta Park, in the New South Wales NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Prospect UnitedvsHurstville FC
- Aug 29, 2026Newcastle Jets IIvsBankstown City Lions
- Aug 29, 2026Hills BrumbiesvsCentral Coast II
- Aug 29, 2026Canterbury BankstownvsMacarthur Rams
- Aug 29, 2026Inter LionsvsHakoah Sydney City
- Aug 29, 2026Rydalmere LionsvsDulwich Hill
- Aug 29, 2026Bulls AcademyvsBlacktown Spartans