Match

Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers: prediction and stats

New South Wales NPL 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Popondetta Park, Emerton

Mt Druitt TownNorthern Tigers

The Footlab model makes Northern Tigers the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Mt Druitt Town. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers?

Northern Tigers starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,537).

Mt Druitt Town win10 %
Draw16 %
Northern Tigers win74 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mt Druitt Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Northern Tigers have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mt Druitt Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Central Coast II(away)4-2New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 15, 2026Hills Brumbies(home)1-2New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 7, 2026Prospect United(away)1-1New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 1, 2026Hakoah Sydney City(home)0-9New South Wales NPL 2
Jul 25, 2026Dulwich Hill(away)0-4New South Wales NPL 2
Northern Tigers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Macarthur Rams(home)3-2New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 15, 2026Bulls Academy(away)1-1New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 8, 2026Rydalmere Lions(home)2-1New South Wales NPL 2
Aug 1, 2026Hurstville FC(away)3-1New South Wales NPL 2
Jul 25, 2026Blacktown Spartans(home)0-3New South Wales NPL 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mt Druitt Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Northern Tigers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Northern Tigers 1-1 Mt Druitt TownNew South Wales NPL 2
Jul 6, 2024Mt Druitt Town 1-2 Northern TigersNew South Wales NPL 2
Mar 29, 2024Northern Tigers 0-4 Mt Druitt TownNew South Wales NPL 2

Last archived meeting: Northern Tigers vs Mt Druitt Town on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mt Druitt Town score 1.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Tigers score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mt Druitt Town1.22.4010/158/15
Northern Tigers1.71.2211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mt Druitt Town sit 16th in New South Wales NPL 2 (13 points from 20 matches) and Northern Tigers sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Northern Tigers201064341736
2Northern Tigers291685523056
16Mt Druitt Town203413214013
16Mt Druitt Town296518356623

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers?
The Footlab model makes Northern Tigers the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Mt Druitt Town.
Where and when is Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers played?
Mt Druitt Town vs Northern Tigers is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Popondetta Park, in the New South Wales NPL 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?