Newcastle Jets II vs Bankstown City Lions: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPL 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Wanderers Oval, Newcastle
The Footlab model makes Bankstown City Lions the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Newcastle Jets II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets II vs Bankstown City Lions?
Bankstown City Lions starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bankstown City Lions have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hakoah Sydney City(away) | 3-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hill(home) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Central Coast II(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rydalmere Lions(away) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hills Brumbies(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Prospect United(home) | 5-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter Lions(away) | 0-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hurstville FC(home) | 2-0 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hills Brumbies(away) | 2-2 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Canterbury Bankstown(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Newcastle Jets II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bankstown City Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Bankstown City Lions 1-3 Newcastle Jets II | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Newcastle Jets II 1-4 Bankstown City Lions | New South Wales NPL 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bankstown City Lions 3-2 Newcastle Jets II | New South Wales NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bankstown City Lions vs Newcastle Jets II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets II score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bankstown City Lions score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets II | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Bankstown City Lions | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets II sit 12th in New South Wales NPL 2 (22 points from 20 matches) and Bankstown City Lions sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 35 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 43 | 53 |
| 12 | Newcastle Jets II | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 41 | 22 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets II | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 64 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets II vs Bankstown City Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Bankstown City Lions the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Newcastle Jets II.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets II vs Bankstown City Lions played?
- Newcastle Jets II vs Bankstown City Lions is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Wanderers Oval, in the New South Wales NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Prospect UnitedvsHurstville FC
- Aug 29, 2026Hills BrumbiesvsCentral Coast II
- Aug 29, 2026Canterbury BankstownvsMacarthur Rams
- Aug 29, 2026Inter LionsvsHakoah Sydney City
- Aug 29, 2026Rydalmere LionsvsDulwich Hill
- Aug 29, 2026Bulls AcademyvsBlacktown Spartans
- Aug 29, 2026Mt Druitt TownvsNorthern Tigers