Cantolagua vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, Sangüesa
The Footlab model makes Cantolagua the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantolagua vs Mutilvera?
Mutilvera starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cantolagua have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Mutilvera have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Pamplona(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2025 | Cirbonero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cortes(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Valle Egüés(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Txantrea(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cantolagua win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mutilvera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mutilvera 4-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Cantolagua 0-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Cantolagua on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantolagua vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab model makes Cantolagua the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Cantolagua vs Mutilvera played?
- Cantolagua vs Mutilvera is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.